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The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.26" which ranks as the 9th driest water year to date with three months left in the water year calendar. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration The official start of fall is only about a month away, with the Autumn Equinox on Sept. 22. By weather.com meteorologists October 13, 2022 At a Glance A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. In December, the best chance of at least somewhat colder than usual temperatures is expected in the East, from the Great Lakes to the Northeast and mid-Atlantic states. The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. AccuWeather's winter forecast. To troubleshoot, here is the link to get situated. The first official astronomical day of winter arrives on Tuesday, Dec. 21. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. Weather forecasts that start where the others stop. Antarctic Winter of 2022 - Coldest on Record. For an oddity record, the eight days with a high of 99 is the most on record for the month of August & any calendar month dating back to 1895. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. This month a raging jet into the Pacific Northwest, which has no blocking. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. September climate data across southeast Arizona, Fall climate data across southeast Arizona, September records more triple digit high temperatures than August. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Click on hotel for more details. According to the CPC, there is a 66% chance that La Nia conditions could last from November 2021 to January 2022. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. That is 100% free to view. Perhaps the snow will even reach the desert lowlands! The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.19". In the U.S., La Nia typically means a colder than average winter in northern and western parts of the country, and a warmer South and East. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 43% chance that they will end up above normal and a 24% chance that they will end up below normal. For the first time since 2010, September recorded more triple digit high temperatures (8) than August did (7). That means that La Nina is NOT controlling the current weather pattern for the season thus far. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. Winter is a great time to hike the Grand Canyon (just be careful of ice), and its also a fun time to go camping in the milder central and southern parts of the state. As is usually the case during the summer thunderstorm season rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 3.00" to 9.00" with localized amounts between 9" and 11" along the lower elevations of the Catalina and Rincon mountains. Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. If you're planning to visit Arizona in the near . Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Detailed Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 - day/night temperatures, precipitations - World-Weather.info. Alaska through Central and Northern Canada to Greenland. March climate data across southeast Arizona, Spring climate data across southeast Arizona. The water year is well below normal since October 1st at 2.03" which ranks as the 8th driest water year to date with four months left in the water year calendar. March 2023; April 2023; May 2023; June 2023; July 2023; August 2023 . The yearly total to date currently stands as the 7th driest year with one month left in 2022. All NOAA. On average, there are 1 rainy days in Arizona during January. Winter 2021-2022 One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. October climate data across southeast Arizona. Equal chances use the map provided below. This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. And that would bring a significantly colder risk to much of the northern U.S. this winter, according to Crawford. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, was on the dry side as just over one and a third of an inch /1.34"/ was recorded. The last seven days of the month was dry with below normal high and low temperatures. In northern Arizona, its snowy and chilly, though usually still quite dry. The periodical says it. Tracking NFL Coaches Fired After 2022 Season Kliff Kingsbury and Lovie Smith are the latest NFL head coaches to be fired By Max Molski Published January 9, 2023 Updated on January 9, 2023 . July climate data across southeast Arizona. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. Here in the Valley, showers will be off and on throughout overnight. One record temperature was set during the month. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Saturday marks the peak of the warming trend and temperatures will slowly decline throughout the next week. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.19" which ranks as the 29th driest March on record, tied with 1949 & 1966. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. There were five days that recorded freezing low temperatures at the airport which is up from the three that occurred in the previous winter but down five from the 1991-2020 normal period. Drier-than-average conditions are forecast in portions of California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, southern Plains, Gulf Coast and much of . At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. The water year is below normal since October 1st at 6.16" which ranks as the 17th driest water year to date with one month left in the water year calendar. Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. Not all risky days will have rain/snow. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. There were nine daily lows that were 80 or warmer. . National Weather Service Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. The Farmers' Almanac is out with their Extended Winter Outlook for 2021-2022 and is calling for a "Frosty Flip-Flop Winter". But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! Temperatures: Below Average, Arizona Monthly Weather - Phoenix, AZ As of 7:03 am MST Feb View Apr Sun mon tue wed thu fri sat 26 57 37 27 63 42 28 63 48 1 62 37 2 55 41 3 60 39 4 67 44 Fri 03 | Day 60 2% SW 5 mph. The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. Love Arizona? January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder, HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 44% chance that they will end up above normal and a 23% chance that they will end up below normal. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Toggle navigation. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. Enter any city, zip or place. The weather in Arizona in January is good. Please try another search. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. The average Fall temperature of 71.3 is 1.0 below the 1991-2020 normal. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. After a week of travel, a bout with a head cold, and a new A-fib diagnosis, hiked some beautiful country with the Britts. This is the 7th June on record in which the monthly low temperature did not fall below 65. January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. The stream has the latest alert links, a map of alerts and where, and articles. Multiple locations were found. This is because the jet stream, or storm track, stays to the north of our area, essentially making for wetter-than-normal conditions across the Pacific Northwest, but drier than normal conditions for the Desert Southwest. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. But there's a potential curveball with La Nia this winter. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. Check out the full 2022-23 Extended Winter Weather Forecast from The Farmer's Almanac below. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. Support local journalism. This led to isolated areas of heavy rain and flash flooding along with hail. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. For only the third time since 1910, no temperature records were set during the first three months of the year. Thus expect the consecutive year streak of above normal temperatures to be extended to 25 years. The average Summer temperature of 88.3 is 1.2 above normal and is well shy of the two warmest Summers on record (90.0 in 2020 & 89.9 in 1994). Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Could Arizona be in for another dry winter, leading to even worse drought conditions? PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite winter towns in Arizona to get some ideas. Reach breaking news reporter Sam Burdette at sburdette@gannett.com or on Twitter @SuperSafetySam. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. While anything is possible, it appears a season full of mellow days and drier air is ahead, so get your sweaters. Dallas Area Storms Cause Power Transformer To Explode, Cold Or Flu? Please Contact Us. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. RELATED: La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, The Official NOAA Winter Outlook for 2022-2023 has been released and as of right now the odds are slightly tilted towards below normal precipitation and above normal temperatures for the desert southwest. Winter- It's Coming! One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. April climate data across southeast Arizona. READ MORE Monday, March 28, 2022 Flagstaff Weather -- March 28, 2022 Additionally, there were five record temperatures that were either set or tied. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. Global emissions have grown in most years since 1900 and have accelerated over time, according to data from IEA. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. During 2020,2021 and the first half of 2022 . Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. The seasonal average temperature of 71.0 goes into the record books as the 5th warmest Spring on record. This is when you get these delivered to your e-mail of choosing AND get your own micro-climate alert system based on your zone for my winter and storm alert products that are not posted on social media when issued. The average yearly temperature, through the end of May, of 64.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 10th warmest on record, tied with 2000. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 0.23" which ranks as the 38th wettest June on record, tied with 1980. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. The average temperature in Arizona in January is. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. All NOAA. OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Temperature extremes ranged from 111 on June 16th to 65 on September 17th. During the first 16 days of the month, no below normal highs were recorded. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. However there were isolated spots that recorded up to a three-quarters of an inch /0.75"/. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. See more current weather Annual Weather Averages in Sedona Airport Sedona Airport is 29 miles from Arizona, so the actual climate in Arizona can vary a bit. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. The last day of 2022 was dry with afternoon temperatures in the upper 60's to lower 70's. There were only seven days that recorded triple digit highs, which is eight days below the normal of 15 days for August. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The airport two-day total of 0.74" ranks as the 3rd wettest New Year's Eve/Day on record. Blistering, Record-Breaking Heat Lytton, B.C. It's not . What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? Updated 7:08PM Weather Associated Press 2022 was 5th warmest year on record 2022 has officially been declared the fifth warmest year on record. I think we do a pretty good job, Geiger said. Then it smashed that record. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. Reuben Salazar clears snow from his home in Flagstaff on Feb. 23, 2022. Drought, wildfires, heat and monsoon storms: Arizona has seen its fair share of severe weather. Rainfall amounts, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, were mostly less than a tenth an inch /0.10"/ with localized totals up to a third of an inch /0.33"/, especially near Vail and on the northwest side of the metro area. The wather in Arizona in January can vary between cold and nice weather days. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. La Nia - the periodic cooling of the equatorial Pacific Ocean waters - is in play as one of the primary drivers for the winter outlook once again this year. CLIMAS_report_2022_final.pdf Southwest Climate Outlook October 2022 We know that finding the ideal hotel in Arizona can be a hard task Thats why we run our special tools and found the best hotels in Arizona. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . In a couple of words: its nice! This story does not necessarily represent the position of our parent company, IBM. La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. Los Angeles had near 9.50 of rainfall during the month alone with a normal amount of 2.48, which is unprecedented and will be the third highest amount during the month of December since records began, only behind 1989 and 2010. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. It is certainly a possibility with the threat of another La Nia on the horizon. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 100 on the 26th to a low of 39 on the 13th. You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of 0.67" is 1.81" BELOW normal & ranks as the 9th driest January through April period on record. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. Arctic 2022 Summer - Coldest on Record. In my long range forecast for the season, I predicted 7-14 of rainfall with a likelihood of 10-14. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. A record warm low temperature was set on the 22nd with a low of 66 breaking the record of 64 from 2016. A generally colder than usual winter is expected in the northern tier of states. WeatherTAB Flagstaff, Arizona Help C F. CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. You can expect sleet, snow, and rain throughout the season. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. The first month of 2023 might start out a little mild on the country's eastern half, but it's expected to be stormy and very, very cold by the middle and end of the month. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. NWS Rainfall at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, of two-thirds of an inch (0.67") is two inches below normal and ranks as the 9th driest January through May period on record. The most frigid weather will likely arrive in late January, and it could be rather brutal. Our weather forecast can give you a great sense of what weather to expect in Arizona in February 2024.. According to its forecast map, Arizonas fall theme will be cool with decent precipitation.. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 111 on the 16th to a low of 66 on the 5th. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. For the first Summer since 2010 & the sixth time since 1980, there were no record highs set or tied at the airport. Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. National Weather Service The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. The yearly high temperature was 111 on June 16th while the yearly low temperature was 26 on February 3rd. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. According to The Farmer's Almanac, Arizona's 2021-2022 winter season will bring along a "polar coaster" with temperature swings lasting well into March of 2022. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from 0.10" to 0.75 ". Winter, 2022. World; United States; Arizona; Weather in Phoenix; Weather in Phoenix in November 2022. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? As usual, the polar vortex is another important wild card in the outlook. One month remains in climatological Winter and so far it has been warmer (55.7 or +2.3) and slightly drier (1.62" or -0.18") than normal. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. For comparison through the end of March, the current climate normal period (1991-2020) average temperature is 57.4 while the previous climate normal period (1981-2010) average temperature was 56.1. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. . Its the best time of year to visit if youre a fan of hiking, for example. Questions? The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. Rain and snow are moving across our state as we ring in the new year. These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. If you click here, this is exactly what my model showed, which is telling me further that we remain on track to keep getting the long range right. On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. The story is much different in the Catalina and Rincon mountains where between 4" and 10" of precipitation has been recorded so far this water year. Elizabeth Hoy, a senior scientist at NASA,. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. And I will say, it looks opposite of December 2021s with a different atmosphere and this is for both Southern California and Arizona Weather Force so read on for details after the first paragraph .